The Senate voted to begin debate on its latest budget resolution by a very slim margin of 50-47. Rand Paul has already said he's a no on final passage, even though he voted to begin debate. Murkowski and Collins are leaning yes, McCain and Corker are wild cards.
Cloture will be invoked on Thursday, with vote-a-rama to follow. I have no prediction about where this will go, especially after the healthcare one this year.
Very important, and something you can remind all of your GOP senators: a budget resolution is NOT necessary for tax reform. A budget resolution is necessary for tax reform to pass without Democratic votes.
Sources close to Lamar Alexander say that he and Senator Murray have circulated a draft bill to fund CSR payment for two years. Obviously, this isn't the permanent fix that Dems would like to see, but I sense that Murray will have to give some pretty big concessions to save this thing and move talks in the direction of a permanent fix.
HEALTHCARE UPDATE 2:20PM from FactPower:
Sens. Alexander and Murray have a rough outline of a bipartisan compromise. See here. In exchange for a 2-year extension of federal payments to insurers, Republicans want Congress to give states "meaningful" flexibility with regard to opt-out provisions. Alexander says "the definition of meaningful" is the remaining stumbling block. However, both Alexander and Murray are optimistic they will reach compromise.
Subpoena dropped today for Carter Page for his testimony in front of the Senate Intel Committee. He'd previously said he would take the 5th. Additionally, we're hearing that subpoenas are imminent for Michael Flynn and his son.